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Market Report - March 2011

 

Nantucket real estate sales - 2010 vs. 2011We are one quarter of the way through the year and Nantucket real estate sales activity has been holding firm, although, the total dollar volume is down from 2010 at this juncture.  We have had 58 real estate transactions vs. 56 through March 2010, but dollar volume is off 30%, from $101 million last year to $71 million as of March 31 this year. Great Point Properties cannot make anything of significance from this, other than house and land sales this year are occurring at the lower end of the market. Additionally, there was a closing in February 2010 for $19.2 million, further skewing the dollar totals. 

Great Point Properties sees the key for the moment is transaction volume.  Demand is remaining steady with 2010 numbers and that is a good sign for sellers.  As Nantucket’s summer season approaches, we assume real estate sales will move into the higher price points.  As Great Point Properties reported in our Annual Report, we expect 2011 to match 2010 for sales activity.  Three months in , we still think that will occur. 

  

Nantucket real estate - inflation vs. debt WHY BUY THIS SUMMER?

An important point that Nantucket real estate buyers should remember is that mortgage rates are still very low.  As inflation has started to rear its ugly head, these rates will not remain at these levels for long.  Banks are lending between 5% and 5.5% fixed, for 30 year terms.  As inflation kicks in, real assets will increase in value, but debt values will decline in real dollar terms.  The chart to the left shows the inverse impact on assets and debt in an environment of 5% inflation. It assumes a property was purchased for $2,000,000 , $1,600,000 of which was borrowed.  Ten years of 5% inflation produce these results displayed in the graph (left).

 Owning real estate is an excellent investment to hedge against inflation.  Today many assets classes, especially gold, have seen significant price increases.  In contrast, the Nantucket real estate is still working its way out of the 2008/2009 morass, and as a result the island’s house and land prices have not made any moves to the up side.  Great Point Properties firmly believes this real estate market has some excellent buying opportunites, especially when coupled with the still historically low interest rates.  So give Great Point Properties a call.  

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